Technical analysis video review of the stock market and individual stocks for Thursday December 14, 2006 including; Nasdaq 100 (QQQQ), SP 500 (SPY), Semiconductor HOLDRs (SMH), MidCap SPDRs (MDY), Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD), Pepco Holdings Inc. (POM), Emdeon Corp. (HLTH), Gateway Inc. (GTW) Internet Initiative Japan Inc. (IIJI), Royal Gold Inc. (RGLD), Exxon Mobil Corp. (XOM), Teva Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd. (TEVA), Apple Computer Inc. (AAPL), Gold Fields Ltd. (GFI), Range Resources Corp. (RRC) and NII Holdings Inc. (NIHD). Trend analysis for daytraders and swingtraders of stocks and options. Trading stocks involves risk; this information should not be viewed as trading recommendations.

http://www.todaytrader.com. Day trading in stocks is both risky and difficult. Please consult your financial advisor before attempting to trade actively. TodayTrader is not responsible for any content that may be viewed on this channel. These videos are not meant to be recommendations in the market. Day trading equities requires a retail account balance of at least $25,000 and must remain at or above this level to trade stocks actively. This website is not a solicitation to buy or sell securities, options, or futures. The purpose of this content is educational only.

I was asked to take a look at ONT and offer my opinion. This may be a very nice play based on fundamental developments within the company. I generally don’t play much on fundamentals, but am going to read up some more on On2.com.

Harvey Walsh of http://www.daytradingfreedom.com trades Nasdaq stocks live. See how to make money daytrading

http://www.stockinvestingprofits.com, You’ll find stock trading course. Including stock market trading strategies, stock picking techniques and stock market valuation.

A Road Map For Small Investors Stock Trading Fundamentals (23)

After 22 videos explaining the realities of the stock market, we have come to a stage where a realistic strategy for small investors can be formulated.

1) You should treat stock investing as a business. Give it some thought and time everyday. There is no need for full time. You manage and profit for the short term in order to build the long term (See my videos #4,17).

2) Let no other people play with your money. If you dont know how to invest, learn! If you dont have time to learn, forget investing! (Video #3)

3) There is no fair play in the stock market. The big players plan, conspire and control the whole scheme of things. If you cannot beat them, join them and follow their coattails. While they are making millions, you can profit handsomely as well with some diligence and insight (Videos #1,2,5).

4) Stock investing starts and ends with money, and nothing else. First of all, determine the price range of the stocks that you can afford to purchase with no bias about company or industry. A good range is between $5 and $20 per share. Be flexible to switch companies when one falls outside of your range. Under $5 is dangerous territory where most bankrupt companies eventually end up (Videos #15,16,18).

5) In the stock market, the time of least risk and most opportunity is when you are holding cash. If this is true, playing short term is a viable alternative even though the experts say otherwise. Continuous small short-term profits will add up significantly over the long term (Videos #10,17).

6) Before you buy a stock, ask yourself whether you are buying at the bottom, middle or top. If you have no idea or no historical perspective of the price movement, you should forget about playing stocks (Videos #8,9).

7) More than 95% of the things you see or hear are outdated or irrelevant. So it pays to identify the few certainties that exist (Videos #12,14, 9,17).
When times are uncertain and people feel anxious, stock prices will definitely fall, which is a real certainty. The financial meltdown starting around September 2008 and a prolonged recession that follows form a toxic combination. The end is not in sight so dont guess the bottom (Video #9).

9) Stock prices are always a few months ahead of significant events due to company top executives sharing information with the big players. Thus the public (or herd) is always late to react. Trying to stay in front of the herd, you can become a smarter investor by holding onto the coattails of the big players (Videos #19,21).

10) A stock moves up because the big players plan it, not because of what the analysts say. A real price surge is due to their continuous buying for at least a few months until a bubble is created. The bubble lasts until the same big players decide to cash out. A price decline that follows is due to the continuous stock unloading by the big guys, and will last shorter than the upsurge. By this time, the analysts will tell a different story (Video #21).

11) Do not buy when the stock is on a declining path because you never know the bottom until you see it. The only exception is that you want to play the short-term wide fluctuations where you go in and cash out quickly.

12) The best time to buy is when a recession shows signs of ending where good stocks are seen bottoming out. How do you pick the good ones? By eliminating all the risky one. The public does not have much timely data except two important facts: well-established companies, and sufficient profit for the last few years to enable survival through the recession. In the current toxic environment, many well-established survivors have been beaten down. They have suddenly become affordable within a year. Their stock prices can go down even further. The following are some worth looking into:

General Electric (GE): down from $40 to $13, annual profit $20 billions.
Microsoft (MSFT): down from $36 to $18, annual profit $17 billions.
Pfizer (PFE): down from $24 to $14, annual profit $10 billions.
Intel (INTC): down from $27 to $13, annual profit $7 billions.
Bank of America (BAC): down from $47 to $11, annual profit $5.5 billions.
Alcoa (AA): down from $44 to $7, annual profit $1.6 billions.
International Paper (IP): down from $34 to $10, annual profit $0.8 billions.
Applied Materials (AMAT): down from $21 to $8, annual profit $1 billion.
Dell Inc. (DELL): down from $28 to $9, annual profit $2.6 billions.
Nokia (NOK): down from $40 to $13, annual profit $10 billions.

For further information, please email to stockfessor@comcast.net

Sometimes you just have to pay attention and be aware that unusual factors are at play in the market. It might have a direct impact on trading, or it might be something that’s merely a distraction for the market.

This episode from TheStockBandit.TV takes a look at 3 factors at play over the coming few days that traders need to be aware of.

See more free videos at http://www.TheStockBandit.TV, and educational site brought to you by http://www.TheStockBandit.com

Energy And Oil Stock Market Industry Analysis (24)

In discussing energy, I wish to bring out the following basic facts that we are experiencing now regarding the future of oil and other alternatives:

A Saudi Oil Minister once told the OPEC members, The stone age ended not because we ran out of stones.

An oil expert once said thoughtfully, The solution to high oil prices is, ironically, high oil prices.

Many experts point out that the Middle East countries are burdened by the oil curse. The rest of the world is no different. Our curse is one of addictive consumption while theirs is single-industry production. Their economies cater to our addiction. We are willing to pay, even with blood.

The dramatic rise in oil prices in recent years is mainly due to long-range demands from China and other populous emerging countries like India and Brazil. It has effectively wiped out the global oil surplus stock. That means the world is now living from day to day on just enough oil production. Any event such as a hurricane, earthquake, terrorism or maintenance shut down will push up oil prices worldwide. The big drop in oil prices since September 08 is only a short-term phenomenon due to fear of a global recession. Once this fear disappears, oil prices will climb back up again.

You can find oil all around, even under your home or your future cemetery. The problem is oil extraction and refining can only operate efficiently on a big scale located near a very large oil deposit. There exist only a handful of such deposits around the world, mostly in the Middle East. Even the North Sea is running out in the near future. So additional oil production will not be enough to ease rising prices. Only nobrainers clamor for drill baby drill!

The oil producers know about this. Have you noticed that they dont call themselves oil companies anymore? They are positioning themselves as energy companies. Even some Middle East oil countries are investing in American solar firms.

Do we have a choice regarding oil? I am afraid not, except for alternatives. Besides rising demand that cannot be met, years of burning fossil fuels have produced global warming with dire consequences. We are now being forced to move away to solar, wind, nuclear and other energy sources. The green movement is quietly taking shape. If the US does not want to assume leadership in this movement, some other countries will. Japan has taken the lead in producing hybrid cars. Germany has made great progress in solar and wind. Frances fast trains run on electricity most of which is generated by nuclear reactors. China is producing millions of electric plug-in bicycles and cheap solar panels for household roofs. Look at General Motors, Ford and Chrysler. They have failed to produce more fuel-efficient cars and have to beg the US Congress for billions of dollars of bailout.

What about bio-fuels? Ethanol is commercially ready as shown in Brazil. The important question is what is it derived from. Ethanol in Brazil is derived from sugar canes after the sugar has been extracted. It is therefore a by-product with no impact on sugar production. In America where corn production is a major industry supplying the world, part of it is diverted to ethanol production as encouraged by government subsidies. In this case, people are forced to choose between food and fuel. What a dumb idea!

Nuclear energy requires high overhead and maintenance, besides the risky disposal of waste products. There is also the safety concern expressed by local residents. Nuclear energy is only viable with strict management.

Coal is the most dirty energy source although there are huge deposits in China and America. A good prospect exists for clean coal technology. The important question is: Will the new technology consume more dirty fuels than the clean coal it is supposed to produce? What will be the net result?

Solar energy stands out as the best source for producing electricity. Every residential or commercial building can be turned into a self-sufficient electricity producer if it has a roof or enough sun exposure. This will eliminate the need for central electricity generation and transmission to end-users. When the plug-in electric cars are available, they can tap into the same solar source. That means solar energy will be indirectly produced for use in transport besides heating, lighting and other functions in buildings. The capture of solar energy depends on the development of cheaper and efficient solar cells and storage batteries. Investments in this area are quietly flowing in. Commercialization is already happening. It may take a few more years before we see a sudden explosion of solar technology.

For further information, please email to stockfessor@comcast.net

http://www.todaytrader.com. Online trading or stock day trading is best to learn by watching live videos. My name is Steve Gomez. My partner Andy Lindloff and I are day trading for a living Learn from our winners and also our mistakes from the trading day. Trading from home can be done using software that has Level 2 data and charts. Charting is essential for day trading. Consider a day trading mentor if you are serious about successful trading.

Managing Risk — Stock Trading And Investment (15)

In selecting companies listed in the stock market, it is imperative to evaluate the risks first to weed out the bad ones. Many people are only interested in future potentials, unaware of their blind spots about risks.

Some Risky Industries
Despite growing traffic, the airline industry is the most risky, especially US domestic airlines. Many external factors are beyond their control but greatly impact on their bottom line. These factors include: price of oil, cutthroat competition, huge overhead and maintenance costs, weather conditions, terrorism, etc. Even big names have collapsed such as Pan American and Eastern. The rest are struggling to survive everyday.

The US automobile industry lacks leadership, vision and management. It suffers from rising labor and health care costs. Over the last 40 years, imports have consistently eaten away their market shares. Two oil crises have hit in early and late 1970s, inflicting heavy damage. Sadly, they still have not learned a lesson to produce better fuel-efficient cars or hybrids. The present oil crisis may finish them off barring a takeover or government bailout.

The restaurant business is tough. What makes it so tough is the ease of entry and intense competition. It requires creative efforts to manage fresh raw materials, low costs, and changing consumer tastes. There are of course some bright spots where a restaurant manages to find a niche to stand out against the rest. However, the risk is too high in general.

The retail business is tough due to the same reason as restaurants. Only the large and high-end retailers can survive. The rest just come and go.

Poor Judgment
Picking a bad stock is usually the result of bad judgment. We don’t want to admit it, and we won’t improve as a result. The following factors contribute to poor judgment:

We happen to have read a report with impressive statistics and graphs. It lights a fire within, and we rush out to buy the stock the next day. On the other hand, we may have read so much about one company or one industry that blinds us to everything else. This is a case of informational intoxication.

Our objectivity is always compromised if we work in a particular company or industry. We think we know it all because we are the so-called insiders. If that is the case, why so many employees cannot foresee their own layoff when their company is teetering on the brink? How many Enron employees were stuck with their company’s shares when Enron finally collapsed?

People like to get fascinated with big names or icons such as Disney, Coca-Cola, Apple, Boeing, Google, Ebay and so on. Those companies have been very successful in establishing a powerful brand name. When their stocks fall, brand names will mean nothing to you. Here are some of the recent failed brands: AIG, Lehman Brothers, and Bear Sterns. There are some more in troubled waters: Morgan Stanley, General Motors, Ford and Chrysler. Do you remember that IBM almost went over the cliff in early 1990s and Apple in mid 1990s? Names dont matter much. Companies just come and go.

Most investors use a narrow or technical definition to assess the potential of a company such as product, brand, market share, profit, management style, etc. Those are only part of the big picture known as market fundamentals. They are all interrelated. Furthermore, they are all changing on a daily basis. You need to stay tuned and keep an open mind. The big picture is never clear. You can only feel if the market fundamentals are favorable or not. Most stocks rise in favorable conditions, but many go counter to the trend.

Most investors think that the stock price rises when a company is doing well. This is often not true. The price goes up for only two reasons. First, the big players are pushing it. Second, the herd just follows after seeing it. The big guys have a good reason for pushing it. They have already made a lot of purchases at lower prices. They want to cash out at a higher price. They have to push up the price to seduce participation from the herd. Of course, we never know how many months or days it will take for the big players to reach their target levels. It all depends on how they view the situation. Since they are the real insiders, their view is necessarily different from ours. We should never guess what they think. Thats is the worst mistake we can possibly make. We should try to buy when the herd begins to rush in. Conversely, we should try to sell when the herd starts the stampede.

For further information, please email to stockfessor@comcast.net